Thoughts For Today's Discussions
| Facts, Skepticism & Realities |
The world has ventured deep enough into the new millenium that it is beyond trite to refer to our day as a part of the new millenium. The reality is that human psychology now demands an adjustment from the 'future' to the reality of the present. Possibly March of 2000 will be noted in the history books as the point when markets realized something was rotten in the state of cyberspace. But It's Too Late: The Distracting Sex Appeal Of Cyberspace Has Vanished Excesses continued too long. Natural laws of economics have been forestalled too long behind a dam of misunderstanding built and jury-rigged daily by the financial media and accepted by an under educated populace of pseudo-economists each fancying himself as being a participant in the "New Economy" with complete understanding of vast new frontiers. Those vast new frontiers are starting to be perceived as the same old new frontiers that are ushered forth periodically by leaps in technology. Gutenburg's printing press, McCormick's reaper, Marconi's radio, Ford's automobile, Einstein's atomic theory each set stages for leaps forward. But those leaps do not materialize instantly upon each of these geniuses' whispering of their products. Time must pass for assimilation first by the Top 1% and then by the hordes of workers able to utilize the simplified new technologies. But it is too late. Capital markets now perceive the "New Economy" as the same old New Technology Game. Sure it's great and will be even better, but not because economic laws have been rewritten or human psychology has changed. And accordingly the human psychology that over pumped the "New Economy" will deflate it with abandon, impunity and total disregard for the feelings and needs of individuals. Individuals and businesses will be swept away in the usual torrent of too many exiting at the same time through a narrow passageway. The Next Bottom Line: Bond and stocks markets will recede. Euphoria-based technology 'companies' based upon the axiom, "It can be done technologically, therefore we will do it", will be forced to see that there is no practical need for the "products" they attempted to deliver over the Internet. Good companies that over-extended debt to blindly keep pace with an invalid technology will declare financial bankruptcy, thereby implicitly admitting to having been intellectually bankrupt in the first place. The euro has shown signs of bottoming in early November, 2000. The U. S. presidential election as awakened the world to the reality that without character, moral standards and leadership even the United States Constitution is impotent. The U. S. dollar can weaken in relation to the euro. Japan has economic problems that continue to go unresolved and not seriously unacknowledged as being potentially disastrous. Terrorism festers as monsters become empowered by their own dark application of technology yielding discrete results but instilling underlying disruptive fears everywhere. Our Best Hope Is The Future: But new opportunities will be available to those wise enough --- and still wealthy enough --- to invest in them.
|
||||||||||||||||||
| The investment axiom that is always valid: Caveat Emptor |
| UnderstandingMarkets.com
is offered only to provide thoughts, observations, comments and opinions. Visitors
should understand that it is the wide variety of thoughts, observations, comments and
opinions that "make a market". Always use caution before and after making an investment. Always watch your investments and know who and what sources to trust --- and not trust. |
| UnderstandingMarkets.com
is offered strictly to provide thoughts, observations, comments and opinions. UnderstandingMarkets.com reserves the right to
edit, reformat, modify and reject any submitted information to improve communication
between users. UnderstandingMarkets.com is intended to be used for general &
professional observations. UnderstandingMarkets.com will not post submissions of a
personal or psychological nature. Users of UnderstandingMarkets.com agree to hold harmless UnderstandingMarkets.com, all employees and affiliated individuals. Neither UnderstandingMarkets.com, its employees, nor affiliated individuals makes nor implies any promise of reward to any user of this site. Each user understands and agrees that no promises nor prizes will be awarded nor issued by UnderstandingMarkets.com. All submissions become the property of UnderstandingMarkets.com. |
This site is on the highway of |
Always useful, mapped and paved with information.SM |
||
|
|||